Why will the gas run out? Think of where it comes from, Monique. Think about what’s going to happen there now that the evil global overlord is no longer around to oppress everyone into behaving themselves. Think about what’s going to happen to the evil world financial system now that the planet’s greatest debtor nation has winked out of existence and won’t be meeting its loan repayments to anyone. Think about what happens when you take the lid of Pandora’s box and everything that we forgot about history comes spilling out to bite you in the ass. Do you know how unusual it is, in human history, for children to grow up in a place like this?” She waved her hands around to take in the city. “Never knowing the fear of someone riding over the horizon to steal their family’s crops and burn their fucking hut to the ground? All as a prelude to snatching them up as slaves for the rest of their miserable fucking lives? That’s normality, baby. That’s life as it has been lived by most human beings through most of our history. That’s what I’ve been fighting my entire adult life, variations on that theme. That’s what America protected you from. And now she’s gone. And you are all alone in the world. Except for me.”

The above is a quote from one of the characters in John Birmingham’s “Without Warning“. The novel begins just before the start of the second Gulf War with the appearance of something called “The Wave”. The Wave is an energy field of some kind that essentially wipes out most of America (not to mention Canada and Mexico, although Vancouver makes it, yeah!) in an instant. A lot of people cheer the end of the Great Satan and it’s Pax Americana. However soon they learn that a world without America is a much more dangerous and barbarous place, and that there were many things people simply took for granted. Do you really  want America to fail? Do you really want America to become “just another nation”? Be careful what you ask for, this novel warns, you might just get it (and it might not be what you expected at all).

Although I felt the novel dragged a little towards the end overall I really enjoyed it. Below is a link to an interview done with the author. It’s worth checking out:

Without Warning Interview

Part 5 of the Rahe interview deals with recovering liberty from soft despotism. Rahe is quite optimistic on this point as he feels that the internal contradictions of the welfare state will doom it in the near future. He cites the example of Social Security as an example. Essentially when the state guarantees your livelihood into old age this lessens the need to have kids. This change doesn’t happen over night but over a period of time people will have less and less children. Once this happens the society will no longer have the workers needed to keep Social Security going. Europe is far further along on this road than the US is, but make no mistake, the US is on the same path.

He sees the election of Barack Obama as a good thing as he has pushed things to the left so fast he has created an opposition movement (best represented by the tea party movement) that will begin to roll back the state.

Like Peter Robinson I am not nearly so sanguine on these prospects. I can not think of a society in history that has exchanged its liberty for security and been able to reverse it. Rahe tries to argue against this by pointing out the countries of Eastern Europe. I do not think this is apt as these countries had a hard despotism put upon them. Although this was overthrown (or collapsed) the appeal of soft despotism is still very strong. Most of these countries seem to want a European type welfare state of varying degrees. Even Czechoslovakia, which was at one time led by the very free market oriented Vaclev Klaus, is hardly any more free than its neighbors.

Peter Robinson then reads a quote from a Mark Steyn review of his book. This is not the quote Robinson mentions but I think it’s more apt:

The story of the Western world since 1945 is that, invited to choose between freedom and government “security,” large numbers of people vote to dump freedom every time—the freedom to make their own decisions about health care, education, property rights, and eventually (as we already see in Europe, Canada, American campuses, and the disgusting U.N. Human Rights Council) what you’re permitted to say and think.

Rahe makes a joke that of course Steyn feels this way because he’s Canadian. If he were British or American he would have memories of Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan. The truth of the matter is although these two leaders talked a great game they at best held the state at bay during their tenures. Overall taxes were not lowered. No major government programs or departments were cut. Once people are used to getting something for nothing, it’s very difficult (maybe impossible) to take it away from them. Robinson makes this point in an article he wrote later. You can read it here:

http://ow.ly/Izv0

If Professor Rahe knew his Canadian history he might be surprised at what Canada can tell him about America today. During the late 1980’s and early 1990’s there was a tremendous and growing grassroots concern for the size of Canada’s federal deficit and growing debt. There was a growing feeling among Canadians that something had to be done less Canada follow the example of New Zealand’s debt crisis in 1984. Neither of the major governing parties at that time, the opposition Liberals or the governing Progressive Conservatives, paid much attention to this. Like most political parties they were in the business of buying the votes of the people with their own money. The way you win elections is by promising people free stuff, not taking things away.

Although there were other factors this was one of the main themes the Reform party took up. Its election platform of 1993 actually outlined serious cuts to a wide variety of government programs. The Reform Party was serious and rode this wave of discontent to an impressive election showing in Canada’s 4 western provinces (it only ran candidates in the west at that time). The governing Progressive Conservatives were all but wiped out during this election.

With the Liberals in power and the Reform Party as a principled opposition the Liberals, after wasting a year, began to take the steps to eliminate Canada’s budget deficit. By 1998 the budget was balanced and Canada enjoyed surpluses for close to 10 years.

However since this shock of fiscal responsibility things are returning to the status quo in Canada. Through various machinations the old Reform Party was combined with the remnants of the PC party to become the Conservative Party. Under the leadership of Stephen Harper they have become a typical moderate right of center party. When I say “typical” I mean because they have rediscovered the joys of spending money they don’t have in an effort to buy votes. This is always the central dynamic in a democracy. When you can rob Peter to pay Paul you can always count on Paul’s vote (and you might be able to convince Peter to vote for you too, if you’re wily enough). The government is growing again and Canada is back into deficit, all under a “Conservative” government. There is currently no serious discussion of cutting back any government programs. Although Canada is still in a much healthier financial position than the States it appears as if we are back on the same track.

What does this mean for Rahe and America? I think it is VERY likely that America will swing wildly right in  2010 and 2012 (Obama will be defeated), electing candidates who preach fiscal discipline. I do not see his occurring in the form of a third party as American election laws make this almost impossible. Once they get in however it is not clear how much they will really cut, if at all. Even if they do the default position for a democracy overtime is to go back to offering voters something for nothing, exchanging liberty for security. America has the best chance at reversing this trend in the history of the world. I don’t think it will do it though.

From my reading of history, soft despotism leads to hard despotisms. When things are really bad people follow the strong man on the horse. But that’s a post for another day, I suppose.

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In the fourth part of the uncommon knowledge interview with Paul Rahe they start to discuss what has gone wrong with the dynamic American form of government that Tocqueville witnessed. Essentially Tocqueville was impressed with the way that the American system empowered citizens with control over their own lives. This was accomplished via the institutions of local government, civic institutions, religion and family. The story in America in the late 19th and 20th centuries has been how the federal government has slowly but surely usurped and undermined these institutions, primarily through the use of grants and mandates.

One of his favorite examples is that of the Buckley amendment. Buckley was a New York, Libertarian (!) senator who had long held a grudge that his collage alma matter had sent his (presumably poor) grades home to his parents. He therefore inserted into a federal spending bill that any collage that accepts federal money MUST respect students privacy. Therefore in his case young Buckley would have not had to suffer the embarrassment of his parents learning about his grades.

Rahe then tells the story from his own experience of a student who attended his first class and did not attend again for some time. He looked into this and learned this student had become a binge drinker at a Frat house. As he teaches at Hillsdale Collage (the only collage that doesn’t accept federal money of any kind) he was able to inform the students parents of this. However if Hillsdale had accepted federal money he would not have been able to do this due to the Buckley amendment.

Which makes more sense? Allowing adults to make decisions that directly effect their jobs and situations in which they are intimately familiar or allowing a distant Washington to make those decisions in advance? Which is more likely to create self reliant citizens as opposed to subjects? To Tocqueville and Rahe the answer is obvious. The more control a citizen has over himself and the institutions which with he deals with everyday the better. Centralizing this power at the Federal level will always weaken these institutions.

At the beginning of his talk he briefly mentions how progressives started to take over the university system in the 1880’s. This started to move the emphasis from individual rights towards more of a collective good model represented by the civil service. This is apparently based on the German model. I am curious as to how and why he thinks this occurred.

Another big moment in America’s slide into soft despotism is the adoption of the 16th and 17th amendments. The 16th amendment allowed for the creation of the income tax which allowed the government to take in as much money as it wanted to. This is true although I suspect the creation of the federal reserve system and national money is actually far more important than this. When you allow the government to print as much money as it wants, what do you expect?

The 17th amendment allowed for senators to be elected. To Rahe this is significant as when the senators were appointed by state legislators it gave the states a powerful voice at the federal level. When they became elected it becomes much easier for the federal government to influence them against their states interests.

In part 3 of the Uncommon Knowledge interview with Paul Rahe Peter Robinson and Paul Rahe explore the 4 characteristics of American culture that tend to protect it from the slide into  soft despotism. These are:

Local Government – Local government is accessible. If you want something done or change there is a possibility of getting it done at the local level. In the early American Republic if you wanted to build a school, road or hospital you did it locally. The distant federal government didn’t do very much. This gives people a feeling of power and control over their own lives and surroundings. This helps fight the feeling of helplessness and ankiatude (there’s that word again, which I am spelling wrong) that can bedevil free republics.

Civic Association – Unlike France, American’s did things through private associations. Like local government this gives people power over their own lives (not to mention that it is most likely much more effective)

Religion – Americans in Tocqueville’s time were shockingly religious, unlike France. Religion puts a certain responsibility on the individual that you are the master of your own soul. This provides a sense of dignity as well as areas of your life which you will not allow anyone to encroach upon.

Family – During this time the French family was not in great shape. Adultery was common. This was not the case in America. The women were strong minded and kept the men inline.

It seems to me that the stronger the central government gets the more it weakens all 4 of these institutions. You have seen this throughout the western world to varying degrees and America is far from untouched.

Take Religion, for example. If the government already has a substantial control over your life why pray to God? If government is already promising you everything you need doesn’t it tend to “Crowd God Out”? Is it any wonder than in the advanced welfare states of Europe (not to mention Canada) that religion is dying?

Same thing with Family. What are the ties that bind? If the government promises to take care of you in your old age via social security, why have kids? Is this not the driving factor behind the falling birth rates in most western nations?

For the ruling class he points out that we all have a natural bias in our minds that we know better than other people. The more educated one becomes, the more this bias is intensified. The desire to rule other people lives, for their benefit, of course, is a strong one.

For citizens the appeal derives from the anxiety of freedom. Rahe uses the term “Ankitude” (which I’m probably spelling wrong) to describe a feeling of fear, of not knowing what to do, which can effect people in free societies. Rahe points to the examples of college seniors who can become gripped with fear in their senior years. For their entire lives they’ve been on an academic track. Now what do they do? What are they going to do with the rest of their lives? What good is their communications degree anyway?

Peter Robinson, further exploring this point, tells the story of Russians experiencing life in America for the first time. The sight of so many choices in a supermarket could be literally overwhelming.

From my perspective Rahe’s point of having an educated, governing class that wants power to help others as they do not know enough to run their own lives is interesting. However I don’t feel it is the full story. Although some with a progressive mindset may be motivated by this it is also a way to greater political power, economic power, and therefore status within a society.

For example take the individual who spends a great deal of time getting a degree in philosophy. He feels he’s important, that he knows a lot. Yet in a free society a high school dropout can invent the sticky note and make millions. How does the philosophy major feel? He can try and invent something useful too but that’s not what philosophy majors are good at. Rather he might stumble into government and create rules to govern the sticky note guy. With the power to pass laws he becomes an important person. He is now “above” the sticky note guy. However he doesn’t actually contribute anything to society.

An example of this might be someone like Al Gore. I know he sits on several boards, including Apple. What does he actually do? I know he invented the internet, but is he actually involved in creating new products at Apple? Rather it is probably useful for Apple to have someone like Gore on board if he needs to get something done as Gore with his connections can get things through the bureaucracy.

Another interesting thing Rahe mentions is the fear that grips collage seniors when their schooling is almost up. Isn’t this a condemnation somewhat of the entire educational process? Throughout a students life the one thing he learns is how to follow orders. You’re told what to study, when to study, and then graded on what you’ve done as to whether it’s any good or not. You DO NOT LEARN TO THINK FOR YOURSELF. YOU DO NOT LEARN TO FOLLOW YOUR OWN PASSIONS. In this way cannot compulsory schooling, as it does not prepare people to be free thinking citizens, be considered an enemy of republican virtue’s? How much formal education did the founding fathers have anyway?

Below is an interesting video which talks about education and how the system really only trains people to become professors.

I’m also a little puzzled as to why Rahe thinks people don’t want to live under a nanny. If you can enjoy all the freedoms of adulthood without the responsibilities, who isn’t going to go for that? For the individual and society this ultimately turns out to be a Siren’s call. However I don’t think it’s surprising that the original song sounds so sweet.

In my effort to further understand where America is and where it is going I’ve been reading Paul A. Rahe’ “Soft Despotism – Democracy’s Drift”. I’m finding it a tough read so far but worth it. Below is Part 1 of an interview that Peter Robinson did with Paul Rahe for the “Uncommon Knowledge” program. Below is the video for part 1 and my thoughts are below.

After talking about health care for a bit he talks about Montesquieu who saw governance in terms of three models:

Monarchies – Are ruled by Kings but are typically limited in power, usually by the nobility. They are driven my honor.
Despotisms – Are ruled by despots who wield unlimited power and are driven by  terror
Republics – Equality is assumed. Ruled by citizen legislators and driven by virtue.

Montesquieu is quite taken with the English method of governance, which he calls “The Beautiful System”. He sees it as being beautiful as it contains a class of people, english merchants, whose well being is not dependent on the governing class. When the government becomes corrupt it is possible for this class to “throw the bums out”, if you will.

Tocqueville, writing 100 years later, sees the same virtuous system taking root in the young American Republic. However he is observing America in the aftermath of the French Revolution which he sees as a watershed. Equality is now firmly operating as a principle in America. Given this Tocqueville sees little chance of a true, authoritarian Despotism taking hold here. As this is the case what problems might occur?

This is where the idea of “Soft Despotism” comes in. In America it is impossible for a despot to gain power through terror, as was traditionally done. However it is possible for a despot to gain power through offering to help people. Slowly, slyly, overtime the despot (which will not be a single person, but a governing class) can gain power. The offers of help always come with strings attached.

The idea of virtue being a defining yet difficult characteristic to achieve aspect of Republics is an idea echoed in Codevilla’s “Character of Nations”. Virtue is the idea that you are willing to sacrifice your own personal gain for the good of the Republic. Translated to the real world this means that you do not join the governing class to get rich or even as a vocation. You do it out of a sense of obligation to serve your country. In most countries, to one degree or another, this is not the case. Wealth is not gained by producing, but by controlling other men. As soft despotism seeps into the bones of the body politic more and more people seek to use the power of government to get ahead. Not only does this imperil the prosperity of the country but it will slowly destroy the characteristic of virtue which is necessary to sustain the republic. The fact that America has acquired a permanent governing class (see senators and congressmen, but also the bureaucracy, who make those roles their lives) tells me that America’s slide to soft despotism is already quite acute.

On another note. Paul Rahe has written a bit about the Obama administration at PowerLine. Check it out here:

http://ow.ly/IGT9

One of the aspects of American history I want to get across in my movie is how innovative American business has been and how this has benefited both America and the world. One of the examples I might use is  the story of Herbert Dow. This is his story.

Herbert Dow was actually born in Belleville, Ontario, Canada (!) in 1866. Shortly after his birth his family returned to the US.

Dow’s father was an inventor and engineer and young Herbert starting following in his footsteps from a very young age. For example, he invented an incubator for chicken eggs before the age of 12. With his father he invented a small steam turbine which the American Navy used for many years in torpedo propulsion.

In university he began researching which chemicals could be found in brines ( water saturated with salt) in Ohio. He discovered that many American brines were rich in bromine which is a chemical used in medicine and the then fledgeling photographic industry. Inventing a process for extracting the bromine he formed a company – but was bankrupt within a year. He later formed a second firm called Midland Chemical Company which was successful. However his investors fired him when Dow started to research ways to extract other chemicals whereas they wanted to focus on bromine.

Dow next founded the Dow Process Company, which he used to perfect a production mechanism to extract chloride and caustic soda from sodium chloride. This proved to be a success allowing him to form the Dow Chemical Company as its successor. WIthin three years Dow was able to purchase his former company, Midland Chemical, and with his new process was producing bromine very cheaply at 36 cents per pound.

Here is where the story gets interesting though. Dow decided he wanted to sell his bromine in Europe too. However the European market was controlled by a government supported bromine cartel which sold bromine for 49 cents a pound. The cartel didn’t want Dow and his cheap bromine upsetting their market. The Germans made it clear that if Dow went ahead with his plans that they would flood the American market with cheap Bromine and ruin him. Dow defied the cartel by selling his bromine in England and the Germans made good on their threat.

The Germans started selling bromine in the US at the unheard of price of 15 cents a pound. Dow couldn’t compete at this price (which was well below the costs of producing it) so he used some Yankee ingenuity instead. First he had his purchasers buy up as much cheap bromine  as they could. He then shipped it BACK TO EUROPE where he sold it for 27 cents! The German cartel was perplexed. Not only could they not figure out why Dow wasn’t going out of business, but where was this huge demand for bromine coming from? What’s more who was flooding their market with cheap bromine? The Germans may not have been too bright in this instance, but they are persistent.  In order to really stick it to Dow they cut the price of bromine to 12 cents and then finally 10.5 cents. Dow was laughing all the way to the bank.

Eventually exhausted by their losses the German cartel had to throw in the towel. By meeting and defeating the German challenge and lowering the price of bromine for all, Herbert Dow is a shining example of American industry, innovation, and entrepreneurship.

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If you’re following this blog you know that I wrote a few documentary film makers asking them for advice. One person who did write me back was Tom Naughton who created the documentary “Fat Head” (essentially a rebuttal of Morgan Spurlock’s “Super Size Me“). He was very kind and encouraging and also gave me some great ideas. From the film clips of his movie you can see that it had some great animations. Apparently he was able to do most of this himself using Photoshop and After Effects. It’s something I’ll have to keep in mind.

Click here to check out some clips from Tom’s great movie.

Today I was reading about George Washington and the Newburgh Conspiracy. I think this is a great story and really illustrates one of the themes that I want my doc to contain. That, ideally, the government is run by the people. America is a nation of citizens run by citizen legislators, not subjects ruled by government overlords. Whether America still embodies this ideal, or has been sliding away from it, is of course up for discussion. Still, if you want to know the direction you are going it is useful to look at where you’ve been. At Newburgh Washington could potentially have made himself King of America if he wanted to. He chose a different path. I can think of few instances in history where someone can potentially gain a great amount of power but doesn’t take it. In my view this is an exceptional moment in American History. If you want to read more about what I’m babbling about check it out here:

Newburgh Conspiracy

One thing I’m really looking for now with my doc is great stories which bring to focus the animating principles of America life. I don’t want my doc to be a boring lecture of political / economic theory. At all times I need to focus on stories that hit people emotionally, that they can relate to their own lives. I know that no one wants to sit through an economics lecture. At any rate back to work.

Today I wrote to a few people who have made low budget documentaries to see if they had any advice for me. These people were:

Evan Coyne Maloney – He runs the website “brain terminal” http://brain-terminal.com/ – he also created a doc on higher education. However there was no link that I could see from his website. Evan – You’re DVD’s link is a bad link!
Tom Naughton – He created the documentary “Fat Head” http://fathead-movie.com/ – I was really impressed with the cartoons / graphics he used in his film.
Michael Wilson – He created the documentary “Michael Moore Hates America” and blogs occasionally at Big Hollywood.

If any of them write me back I’ll let you know what they say (provided my e-mail works, of course).

I also started e-mailing different organizations in order to get free images / video that I might be able to use in my film. The companies I e-mailed today are:

Ford Motor Company
Apple
General Electric
DuPont
Boeing
Microsoft

What is great is that a lot of these companies seem to have media galleries that I think I can use. Microsoft, Apple and DuPont seem to fall into this category.

Boeing has a whole section on images. However they charge for their images. As I’m financing this thing myself I doubt I’ll be using them.

I’m going to start exploring government agencies as well starting tomorrow. Anything the government produces is usually public use. This is probably a better option for me although it’s good to know that I can potentially get a lot of images from corporations too.

First of all I want to say that from now on I’m planning on blogging nearly everyday about my film making journey. I’ve been busy working on other projects but now I  think I can devote my full attention to my film project. It’s going to need it.

In order to make my film I figure I’m going to need three things:

• Interviews and stories from average Americans
• Interviews with noted Authors and Experts
• As much free imagery and video as I can get from government agencies / companies etc.

The first two I’m not so concerned about. When I set up interviews with people like Angelo Codevilla I’m planning on going to them. From there I’ll do man on the street interviews to get the average Americans thoughts. However now that I think about it if I could set up interviews with people who have a real “American Dream” type story that would be great too. Hopefully my social networking plan will allow me to reveal such people in time.

Getting free imagery / video is going to be critical. However all  government agencies, not to mention tourism bureau’s etc have royalty free images and video that I could potentially use. Big corporations like GE, Microsoft, GM etc should also have free stuff I could use to help me construct my film. One aspect I am going to want to stress is American innovation. Having images of cars flowing off the assembly line or Microsoft computers should really help this. Tomorrow this is going to be my main goal.

I actually got this idea from Phelim McAleer who made the documentary “Not Evil Just Wrong”. I was actually lucky enough to meet him when he premiered his movie in Vancouver. I’ll have more to say on this in the future.

Currently I’m actually writing an outline for my movie which I’m hoping will save me a lot of time down the rode. I’m also reading Paul Rahe’s book “Soft Despotism – Democracies Drift”. I know that Peter Robinson is going to be interviewing Professor Rahe on Uncommon Knowledge this week, so I’ll definitely be tuning in for that.

I know this post has been a bit of a mish mash of ideas. Future posts should be much more focused. Right now my mind is just whirling with possibilities and things I need to do. One step at a time.